July 16, 2026

Vietnam’s Banks Sit Eight Points Below Their Neighbours, and the Cheapest Capital Is Capped at 30%

We find that the binding constraint on recapitalizing Vietnam's banks is not the appetite of foreign capital but the interaction of a rising capital standard with a 30% aggregate foreign-ownership ceiling. At end-2024 the system's capital-adequacy ratio was 12.5%, roughly eight percentage points bel
July 5, 2026

If Southeast Asia’s Greenfield FDI Announcements Hit a Record, Why Did Its Balance-of-Payments Inflows Fall?

We document that the two series routinely reported as 'Southeast Asian FDI' diverged over 2020-2024 in both direction and composition. Announced greenfield project value (fDi Markets) rose to a record USD 175.1 billion in 2023, up 55.8% on 2022, in the same year that realized balance-of-payments inf
July 5, 2026

Food-Processing FDI Outweighs Farm Investment Across Southeast Asia’s Agrifood Sector

We examine where foreign direct investment enters Southeast Asia's food economy and find it concentrated almost entirely downstream, in processing and beverages, with primary farming reached only at the margin. The pattern is the local form of a global rule: worldwide, food, beverage and tobacco man
July 5, 2026

Singapore Holds Nearly Twice as Much Inbound Direct Investment as It Sends Back Out. The Geography of the Gap Marks a Capital Re-Exporter.

We read Singapore's place in Asian capital flows from both sides of its direct-investment balance sheet. At end-2023 the inward stock stood at S$2,858.8 billion, or 4.2 times GDP and about 1.9 times the S$1,535.8 billion Singapore held abroad, and more than half of it (56%, S$1,610.9 billion) sat in